Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 1 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,249
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD28.0%+3.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-3.0
- Grüne16.0%-0.5
- FDP13.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Sep 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,249 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Sep 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 25.5
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 22.2
- FDP +1.5average 11.5
- Linke -1.5average 6.5
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD192
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne110
- FDP89
- AfD68
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP391 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.