Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 25 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Jan 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 23 to 25 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Jan 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 34.4
- Linke -0.4average 7.4
- AfD +0.2average 9.8
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne127
- SPD107
- AfD67
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.