Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 25 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,030
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-7.0
- Grüne23.0%+4.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+2.0
- FDP9.0%+2.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Feb 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,030 people were surveyed from 23 to 25 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 7.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.9average 20.1
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 30.8
- AfD +1.7average 10.3
- SPD -1.6average 16.6
- Linke -0.5average 7.5
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne154
- SPD101
- AfD80
- FDP60
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.