Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 15 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 1,292
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+3.0
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Mar 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,292 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Apr 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 3.3 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.3average 27.7
- SPD -2.0average 16.0
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- FDP -0.7average 9.7
- Grüne -0.6average 21.6
- AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- Grüne142
- SPD95
- AfD75
- FDP61
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.