Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,271
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne26.0%+5.0
- CDU/CSU25.0%-6.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Apr 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,271 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU loses 6.0 points, Grüne gains 5.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 24.9
- FDP -1.1average 11.1
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 24.9
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne176
- CDU/CSU169
- SPD95
- AfD75
- FDP68
- Linke47
- Grüne + CDU/CSU345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP319 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.