Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,229
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 May 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,229 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 May 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 25.4
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- Grüne +0.7average 24.3
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne171
- CDU/CSU165
- SPD96
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke48
- Grüne + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD336 of 630
- Grüne + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.