Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
7 to 9 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,232
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+4.0
  • Grüne22.0%-3.0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 May 2021.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,232 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.1average 12.1
  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 26.6
  • Grüne -0.1average 22.1
  • SPD +0.1average 14.9
  • AfD +0.1average 10.9
  • Linke +0.1average 6.9
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 149 seatsSPD: 102 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 68 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne149
  • SPD102
  • AfD74
  • FDP68
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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