Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
22 to 24 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,271
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Jun 2021.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,271 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.9 points lower and SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.9average 11.9
  • SPD -1.5average 15.5
  • Grüne +1.1average 20.9
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 28.0
  • AfD -0.4average 10.4
  • Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 199 seatsGrüne: 151 seatsSPD: 96 seatsFDP: 68 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU199
  • Grüne151
  • SPD96
  • FDP68
  • AfD68
  • Linke48
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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