Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 27 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,371
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Jan 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,371 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Jan 2021, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 35.9
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
- FDP -0.8average 6.8
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- AfD -0.4average 9.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU248
- Grüne134
- SPD101
- AfD60
- Linke47
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.