Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 27 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 1,303
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 Jul 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,303 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 Jul 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 36.6
- Grüne +1.3average 17.7
- AfD -1.0average 10.0
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- Grüne126
- SPD106
- AfD60
- Linke53
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.