Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 31 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,249
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Jul 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,249 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Jul 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.8average 18.2
- AfD -1.4average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 37.1
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- Grüne139
- SPD93
- AfD60
- Linke53
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.