Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,226
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU39.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Jun 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,226 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 18.0
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 37.4
- AfD -1.3average 10.3
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU259
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD60
- Linke46
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.