Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 26 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 25 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 1,227
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU40.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Jun 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,227 people were surveyed from 23 to 25 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.3average 37.7
- Grüne +1.0average 18.0
- AfD -1.0average 10.0
- Linke -1.0average 8.0
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU265
- Grüne126
- SPD100
- AfD60
- Linke46
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.