Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
8 to 10 Jun 2020
Respondents
1,270
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU39.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 May 2020.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,270 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 May 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 3.4 points higher and FDP 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +3.4average 16.6
  • FDP -2.1average 6.1
  • Linke -1.0average 8.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 38.2
  • AfD -0.5average 9.5
  • SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 273 seatsGrüne: 140 seatsSPD: 105 seatsAfD: 63 seatsLinke: 49 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU273
  • Grüne140
  • SPD105
  • AfD63
  • Linke49
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne413 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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