Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 28 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,377
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 May 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,377 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 May 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.5 points higher and FDP 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.5average 16.5
- FDP -1.9average 5.9
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 38.1
- AfD -0.9average 9.9
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU273
- Grüne133
- SPD105
- AfD63
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.