Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 14 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,282
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Apr 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,282 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 16.1
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 38.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU255
- Grüne121
- SPD100
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.