Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
20 to 23 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,323
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU39.0%+4.0
  • Grüne18.0%-2.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Apr 2020.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,323 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 37.6
  • Grüne +1.1average 16.9
  • FDP -1.1average 6.1
  • AfD -0.9average 9.9
  • Linke -0.7average 7.7
  • SPD -0.4average 16.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 261 seatsGrüne: 121 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU261
  • Grüne121
  • SPD107
  • AfD60
  • Linke47
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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