Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,289
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,289 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 16 Jan 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.3average 25.3
- Grüne +0.9average 12.1
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 25.3
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD172
- SPD107
- Grüne93
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More
More polls
← Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 16 Jan 2026Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 27 Feb 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.