Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,262
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD24.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- Others12.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Feb 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,262 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Feb 2026, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.0average 25.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 25.3
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD172
- SPD107
- Grüne86
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.