Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,206
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD26.0%+2.0
- Grüne15.0%+3.0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Feb 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,206 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Feb 2026, Grüne gains 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.1 points higher and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 12.9
- AfD +2.0average 24.0
- SPD -1.6average 14.6
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.5
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD182
- Grüne105
- SPD91
- Linke70
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD378 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.