Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 April 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 16 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,355
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Mar 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,355 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Apr 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Mar 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 13.6
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- Grüne +0.4average 13.6
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 24.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne100
- SPD86
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD372 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.