Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,240
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,240 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 May 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Apr 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 23.9
- SPD -1.1average 13.1
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- AfD +0.8average 26.2
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD193
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne93
- SPD86
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU372 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD372 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke344 of 630
More
More polls
← Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 17 Apr 2026Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 22 May 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.