Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,340
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+2.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 May 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,340 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 May 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 May 2026, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.4average 10.6
- AfD -1.0average 27.0
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 23.1
- Grüne +0.9average 14.1
- FDP -0.9average 3.9
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD184
- CDU/CSU170
- Grüne106
- SPD85
- Linke85
- AfD + CDU/CSU354 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD375 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.