Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,274
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 May 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,274 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Jun 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 May 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 22.9
- FDP -1.3average 4.3
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
- Grüne -0.3average 14.3
- Linke +0.3average 10.7
- AfD +0.1average 26.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD191
- CDU/CSU177
- Grüne99
- SPD85
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU368 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD375 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.