Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 18 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,190
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-2.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Jun 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,190 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 Jun 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Jun 2026, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 22.6
- SPD +0.7average 12.3
- AfD +0.6average 27.4
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
- Linke +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD200
- CDU/CSU172
- SPD93
- Grüne86
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.