Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,325
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne27.0%+3.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Sep 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 27.0%. 1,325 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Sep 2019, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 4.9 points higher and SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.9average 22.1
- SPD -1.9average 14.9
- FDP -1.4average 7.4
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne181
- AfD94
- SPD87
- Linke47
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD362 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.