Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,270
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Aug 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,270 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Aug 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.8average 7.8
- SPD +1.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 27.5
- Grüne +0.5average 23.5
- AfD -0.5average 13.5
- Linke -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne162
- SPD102
- AfD88
- Linke47
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.