Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 8 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,307
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne25.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Jul 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,307 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Jul 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.3average 8.3
- Linke -1.1average 8.1
- Grüne +1.0average 24.0
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- AfD -0.4average 13.4
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne170
- SPD88
- AfD88
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.