Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,257
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP13.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Oct 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,257 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 Oct 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 26.4
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 21.1
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- FDP -0.8average 13.8
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD190
- CDU/CSU135
- Grüne108
- FDP88
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP386 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.