Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 28 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,208
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP14.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Oct 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,208 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Oct 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 21.4
- SPD +1.0average 26.0
- FDP +1.0average 13.0
- Linke -0.7average 5.7
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU135
- Grüne108
- FDP95
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP386 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.