Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 6 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,322
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- Others12.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Oct 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,322 people were surveyed from 4 to 6 Nov 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Oct 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.8average 10.8
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- SPD -0.6average 14.6
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD186
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.