Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,207
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD27.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others11.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Nov 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 27.0%. 1,207 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Nov 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Nov 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 1.6 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.6average 10.6
- AfD +1.5average 25.5
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 25.7
- SPD -0.6average 14.6
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- AfD191
- SPD99
- Grüne85
- Linke64
- CDU/CSU + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.