Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 11 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 1,295
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+2.0
- Others12.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Nov 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,295 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Dec 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 21 Nov 2025, AfD loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 25.4
- AfD -0.6average 25.6
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- SPD -0.3average 14.3
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD179
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.