Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 23 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,272
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- Others12.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Oct 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,272 people were surveyed from 21 to 23 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 Oct 2025, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 25.2
- Linke -0.8average 10.8
- AfD -0.6average 25.6
- SPD +0.6average 14.4
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.