Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,300
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD25.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Sep 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,300 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 25.7
- AfD -0.6average 25.6
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- AfD177
- SPD106
- Grüne78
- Linke78
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.