Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 19 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 18 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,419
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- Grüne10.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Sep 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,419 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 Sep 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 11.3
- BSW -1.3average 4.3
- AfD +1.0average 25.0
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 26.1
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD186
- SPD107
- Linke79
- Grüne72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne337 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.