Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,269
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD25.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Aug 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,269 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Sep 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Aug 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.0average 4.0
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 26.2
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- Grüne -0.3average 11.3
- AfD +0.2average 24.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.