Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,311
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,311 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 Sep 2026, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 19.6
- FDP -1.4average 4.4
- Linke +0.9average 11.1
- SPD -0.3average 13.3
- AfD -0.2average 28.2
- Grüne -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD198
- CDU/CSU149
- Grüne106
- SPD92
- Linke85
- AfD + CDU/CSU347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD396 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke389 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More
More polls
← Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 25 Sep 2026Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.