Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 25 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 24 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,346
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 Aug 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,346 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 Aug 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.5average 4.5
- Grüne -0.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 20.2
- Linke +0.6average 11.4
- SPD +0.3average 12.7
- AfD -0.1average 28.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD201
- CDU/CSU150
- Grüne100
- SPD93
- Linke86
- AfD + CDU/CSU351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD394 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.