Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 22 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,328
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD23.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 May 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,328 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 May 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 2 May 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 24.1
- BSW -1.1average 4.1
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 26.3
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD167
- SPD116
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.