Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 1,330
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Nov 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,330 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 Nov 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 18.6
- FDP -1.4average 6.4
- AfD -0.9average 9.9
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 36.3
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- Grüne139
- SPD106
- AfD60
- Linke46
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.