Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 1,246
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Nov 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,246 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 Nov 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.4average 6.4
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 36.2
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- AfD +0.4average 9.6
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- Grüne131
- SPD105
- AfD66
- Linke52
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.