Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,433
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%+2.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Nov 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,433 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Dec 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Nov 2024, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 12.5
- AfD -1.2average 18.2
- SPD -1.2average 16.2
- BSW -0.9average 5.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 32.4
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU248
- AfD127
- SPD113
- Grüne105
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.