Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,399
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Nov 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,399 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Nov 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has BSW 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.9average 6.9
- FDP -1.2average 4.2
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 33.1
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- AfD -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- AfD137
- SPD121
- Grüne91
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.