Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,264
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne22.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 Oct 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,264 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 8.8
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- Grüne +0.6average 21.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
- SPD -0.2average 14.2
- AfD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne147
- SPD94
- AfD94
- Linke67
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.