Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,328
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-2.0
- BSW7.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,328 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Sep 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Aug 2024, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 31.8
- Linke +1.1average 2.9
- BSW -0.9average 7.9
- FDP -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- AfD -0.3average 17.3
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU251
- AfD129
- SPD114
- Grüne83
- BSW53
- CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.