Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,334
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- BSW7.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others14.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 May 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 1,334 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 May 2024, BSW gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 15.6
- Grüne +0.9average 13.1
- AfD -0.6average 16.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- BSW +0.2average 6.8
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD117
- SPD103
- Grüne102
- BSW51
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.