Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 22 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,297
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Oct 2020.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,297 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Oct 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.6 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.6average 35.4
- AfD -1.5average 10.5
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- Grüne +0.7average 19.3
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD60
- Linke53
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.