Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 8 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,229
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,229 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Sep 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 35.7
- Grüne +0.8average 19.2
- Linke -0.8average 7.8
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- AfD -0.4average 10.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- Grüne133
- SPD106
- AfD66
- Linke46
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More
More polls
← Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 17 Sep 2020Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 23 Oct 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.