Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 23 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,242
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Nov 2023.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,242 people were surveyed from 21 to 23 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 Nov 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 29.6
- AfD +1.2average 20.8
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Grüne +0.6average 14.4
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD158
- SPD107
- Grüne107
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.